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A competing risks analysis of the determinants of low completion rates in the Canadian apprenticeship system

TitleA competing risks analysis of the determinants of low completion rates in the Canadian apprenticeship system
Year of Publication2010
AuthorsDostie, B.
JournalCLSRN Working Paper
Date PublishedOctober
Keywordsapprenticeship training, competing risks model, human capital
Abstract

In this paper, we estimate the determinants of low (and slow) completion rates with a competing risk duration model using data from the 2007 National Apprenticeship Survey (NAS). This allows us to distinguish the impact of age and duration dependence on the probability of dropping out. We find that older apprentices are less likely to transit toward completion after age 28. We also find duration dependence to be positive, meaning that baseline transition probabilities to completion increase with apprenticeship duration. However, the positive effect dies out after five years of apprenticeship.

URLhttp://www.clsrn.econ.ubc.ca/workingpapers/CLSRN%20Working%20Paper%20no.%2067%20-%20Abstract.pdf
Document URLhttp://www.clsrn.econ.ubc.ca/workingpapers/CLSRN%20Working%20Paper%20no.%2067%20-%20Dostie.pdf